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Research and analytics

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  • Alfa Bank
  • Bank ZENIT
  • E.Gavrilenkov and A.Kudrin
  • Promsvyazbank
  • Raiffeisen Bank
  • Region BC
  • ROSBANK
  • Sberbank CIB
  • URALSIB Capital
  • Veles Capital
  • VTB Capital
  • ACRA
  • AK BARS Bank
  • Alfa-Capital
  • Bank Saint Petersburg
  • BCS Global markets
  • Cbonds EM
  • Cbonds Group
  • Cbonds Research
  • Cbonds Review
  • DOM.RF
  • FinExecutive
  • Gazprombank
  • GfK Rus
  • GLOBEXBANK
  • Home Money
  • IC RUSS-INVEST
  • IFC Solid
  • IG UNIVER
  • Investcafe
  • KIT Finance
  • Legal capital partners
  • Liniya Prava
  • Moscow Exchange
  • MosFinAgency
  • Nordea Bank
  • NSD
  • Otkrytie Brokerage House
  • PFL Advisors
  • Price center «Cbonds Valuation»
  • Promsvyaz, Ltd.
  • Raiffeisen Capital Asset Management Company
  • RUSIPOTEKA
  • Sberbank Asset Management
  • UniService Capital
  • Vnesheconombank
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October 19, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 18, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 17, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 16, 2018
E.Gavrilenkov and A.Kudrin Budget: Lacking growth, topping up reserves
Description
Despite a rather unconvincing economic growth (analyzed in the previous note “Macro: Sluggish Growth Amid Robust Lending”), the Russian macro balances look solid. Russia again turned to a twin surplus (budget and the current account) regime. The country’s total foreign debt now almost equals its international reserves. Statistics show that Russia has rather strong external and internal balance sheets and no major macroeconomic imbalances. What it is missing is a convincing rate of economic growth. An idea of borrowing locally in order to accumulate reserves in foreign currencies looks extravagant as local interest rates are higher than the returns the government can get from investing reserves abroad. But it makes perfect sense if a significant depreciation of the ruble is expected. If so, the government appears to be sending other economic agents a preposterous signal (mistrust in local currency) and discourages investment. In this situation, it is not surprising that the government expects growth between 1% and 2% in the next couple years. Establishing an infrastructure fund looks much more reasonable as it does not involve FX market activities, but only if this fund operates in an efficient manner. Anyway, transfers to any kind of the "reserve fund" are unlikely to significantly exceed annual budget surpluses.
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 15, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 12, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 11, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 10, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 09, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 08, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 04, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 03, 2018
E.Gavrilenkov and A.Kudrin Macro: Sluggish Growth Amid Robust Lending
Description
Consumer demand will remain the key factor of economic growth in 2019. Consumer lending gradually became an increasingly important factor of Russia’s growth – even though it is rather small relative to GDP. However, it was quite costly, placing strong pressure on the household income. In the aftermath of the 2015-2016 recession consumer lending is expanding not as fast as before, but relative costs of borrowing are declining amid lower inflation. It makes consumer demand less vulnerable to potential external and domestic shocks.
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
Cbonds EM CBONDS GLOBAL MONTHLY NEWSLETTER ISSUE STATISTICS AND LEAGUE TABLES for September 2018
October 02, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
October 01, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
September 28, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
September 27, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
September 26, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
September 25, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
September 24, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
September 21, 2018
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
“Research and analytics” section shows daily analytical commentary, weekly and special reviews from leading investment banks on the following topics: macroeconomics, money market, bonds and international bonds, syndicated loans and promissory notes. Comments can be searched by topic, source, key words, and review publication frequency. It is possible to set automatic e-mail sending of required comments from a certain source.
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